Traffic Demand Forecasting for Port Services

Forecasting the demand for new telecommunication services

This paper proposes a novel forecasting method which is applicable for new services, where little historical data has been recorded. The method uses instead estimators based on economical, demographic and traffic data. The method is, compared to traditional forecasting procedures that are built upon a solid historical record of data, clearly found to be weaker numerically. However, for novel se...

Demand Forecasting Model of Port Critical Spare Parts

Demand forecasting for port critical spare parts (CSP) is notoriously difficult as it is expensive, lumpy and intermittent with high variability. In this paper, some influential factors which have an effect on CSP consumption were proposed according to port CSP characteristics and historical data. And analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used to sieve out the more influential factors. Combined w...

An Aggregate Sector Flow Model for Air Traffic Demand Forecasting

Sector capacity, number of aircraft permitted in a region of the airspace referred to as a sector, is used to limit air traffic to an amount that can be safely handled by a human controller. The traditional approach for predicting traffic demand in a sector involves the simulation of trajectories of individual aircraft. The demand provided by this approach is inaccurate for hourly time horizons...

Forecasting market demand for new telecommunications services: an introduction

The marketing team of a new telecommunications company is usually tasked with producing forecasts for diverse stakeholders with different needs. Consequently, those outside marketing often do not realize the many reasons for developing forecasts, nor the marketing theory used and the challenges involved in doing so. Based on our three decades of experience working with telecommunications operat...

Forecasting Demand For New Consumer Services : Challenges And Alternatives